Well this couldn't have set up any better to keep Dolphins fans tied to the TV for a full day of NFL action on Sunday.
In order to make the playoffs, the Dolphins need to beat the Steelers and hope that ALL of the following happens: New England beats Houston, Oakland beats Baltimore, Cleveland beats Jacksonville, AND Cincinnati beats the Jets.
The Cleveland/Jax and NE/Houston games are at 1pm Eastern, like the Dolphins game, so we could know the Dolphins fate before the end of our game. Or, we could have to wait up. Baltimore plays Oakland at 4:15pm Eastern, and then the Jets/Bengals game isn't till 8:20pm Eastern. FYI, that game will be the final ever NFL game in the horrible Meadowlands. The Jets and Giants will play in the 'New Meadowlands' starting next season. The new stadium's main feature is the fact it's clad in LED panels that will change color based on which team is playing. Of course, it will still have the ridiculous interchangeable end zone carpet that has crippled several players in the old stadium.
So there's a chance we still won't know if the Dolphins make the playoffs until after bed-time for most of us.
But if they're going to be in that position, here's some things they might want to be taking note of:
- This will be a playoff caliber atmosphere. I fully expect there to be a large 'Steeler Nation' contingent in the stands at Landshark Stadium, and the fact that this is CBS' game of the week (because it's the Steelers) there might even be some extra NFL cash spent on the pre-game hoopla.
- While most media circuits are on the fence over whether or not Troy Polamalu will play, I expect he will. For one, he's missed more than enough games, and this is the Steelers' last ditch effort to make the playoffs. Also, this bastard somehow managed to win the popular vote into the Pro-Bowl voting despite only having played in 5 games this year (note: He ended up losing out to Brian Dawkins in the end) so he might feel pressure to play from his fanbase. Obviously he is a game-changing asset on the field so the Dolphins need to work the ball away from him if he does play.
- No one takes more sacks than Ben Roethlisberger. The guy is tough as nails, but he's also a tackling dummy at times. If the Dolphins can get past the Steelers average blocking, they will tip the scales in their favor. The Steelers have been a much more pass-oriented team the last two years, and the first line of defense is to disrupt the quarterback.
- The next biggest threat is Santonio Holmes. With Hines Ward looking beat up/questionable, and TE Heath Miller looking pedestrian this season, Holmes is clearly carrying the load here. Not the most intelligent person in the world, but very good hands and solid all-around football skills. Who will cover him? I suspect if Ward is healthy and plays, then Vontae Davis will get Ward and Sean Smith will cover Holmes, based on the physicality of each player. Holmes likes to work the sidelines and this could be beneficial to Smith, with his long reach and good intermediate/short route coverage.
- For the Dolphins' offense, the key here is to get around Casey Hampton, the Steelers' All-Pro nose tackle, and win blocking assignments on James Harrison, Lamar Woodley, and James Farrior on running plays.
- In the passing game, the key is to throw some different looks at Ike Taylor and William Gay, or to try to avoid throwing outside altogether. Again, Polamalu is such a force that it affects the gameplan whether he plays or not. If he doesn't, I would work in a lot of running back screens. He is the best in the league at defending the screen, but if he's not in the game, there may be a weakness there.
- Not that the Steelers have much weakness on the defensive side of the ball. Ultimately, it's going to be all about everyone winning their individual blocking assignments, the running backs giving 125%, driving forward for an extra yard here, a 3rd and short conversion there, and the receivers finding soft spots to sit down in. Davone Bess could have a huge game, and there may be opportunity to break a deep ball or two to Ginn. But the throws will have to be accurate, better so than last week.
- On a side note, the Steelers signed CB Trae Williams this week to replace an injured player. He probably will not even be active, but some of you may remember that I stomped up and down like a 4 year old last year screaming for the Dolphins to sign Williams when we were having corner issues. I also wanted to bring him in this year before we brought in Eric Green, re-signed Will Allen, and drafted Davis and Smith. Williams is the 'other half' of the USF duo that featured himself and Dallas starter, Mike Jenkins, a duo that was considered the best pair in the country in 2007. It would be a real pain in the arse if he played and scored a pick 6 or something...